San Francisco Frontiers - US hiring slows more than expected with auto strike drag

The world's biggest economy added 150,000 jobs last month, less than analysts expected and down from a revised 297,000 figure in September, the Labor Department said.

The unemployment rate edged up to 3.9 percent, the report added.

This is likely seen as good news for policymakers, given concerns that a too-hot labor market could contribute to elevated inflation.

The job market has been unexpectedly resilient over the past year, even as the central bank lifted interest rates rapidly to combat inflation –- a move that typically sees hiring cool and unemployment edge up.

But robust job and wage growth has allowed consumers to continue spending even as inflation came down, buoying economic growth.

This has lifted hopes that the United States can avoid a recession despite higher interest rates.

Average hourly earnings in October rose 0.2 percent, inching down from the month before, Labor Department data showed.

- Strike impact -

"Employment in manufacturing decreased by 35,000 in October, reflecting a decline of 33,000 in motor vehicles and parts that was largely due to strike activity," the Labor Department said.

Last month, auto workers expanded a strike launched in mid-September.

The United Auto Workers union had launched the first simultaneous work stoppage at the "Big Three" automakers – General Motors, Stellantis and Ford -- pushing for higher wages and other improvements.

It expanded the labor action as negotiations wore on and at its height, the strike mobilized more than 45,000 workers before deals were reached with all three of the companies.

Kathy Bostjancic, chief economist at Nationwide, said the auto strike's impact is temporary.

Outside of that, "we look for a resumed, broad-based slowing in job creation," she told AFP.

Looking ahead, EY chief economist Gregory Daco told AFP: "Moderating wage growth, along with slower demand for goods and services, easing rent inflation and reduced pricing power should lead to further disinflation."

This argues in favor of the Federal Reserve holding the benchmark lending rate steady in the coming months, he added.

"While Fed policymakers will maintain the optionality of further tightening, we continue to believe that the Fed's tightening cycle is complete," Daco said.

X.Roberts--SFF