San Francisco Frontiers - Far right gains in Portuguese polls as PM holds on

Near complete official results showed Montenegro's centre-right Democratic Alliance (AD) had boosted its tally in the 230-seat parliament to 89 in Sunday's poll, short of the 116 seats required for a ruling majority.

Chega, led by former television sports commentator Andre Ventura, and the Socialist Party (PS) tied in second place with 58 seats each.

There are still four seats left to be assigned representing Portuguese who live abroad.

Ventura said he was confident Chega would pick up a couple as it did in the previous general election in 2024 to overtake the PS, making it Portugal’s main opposition party for the first time.

"We didn't win these elections but we made history," Ventura told his supporters, who chanted "Portugal is ours and it always will be".

"The system of two-party rule in Portugal is over," he claimed.

Even with the backing of the recently formed business-friendly party Liberal Initiative (IL), which won nine seats, the AD would still need the support of Chega or the PS to pass legislation.

But Montenegro, 52, a lawyer by profession, has refused any alliance with anti-establishment, far-right Chega, saying it is "unreliable" and "not suited to governing".

His previous minority AD government was able to pass a budget because the PS abstained in key votes in parliament.

However, relations between Portugal's two mainstream parties have soured during the campaign and it is unclear if a weakened PS -- which had its lowest score in decades, losing 20 seats -- will be willing to allow the centre-right to govern this time around.

- Little incentive to cooperate -

Montenegro said he expected a "sense of state, a sense of responsibility" from other parties so he could "continue to work".

But Portugal will stay in campaign mode, with local elections later this year and a presidential election in January.

This could reduce the incentive for parties to cooperate while they focus on highlighting their differences to sway voters.

Montenegro will be shielded from the threat of fresh polls in the near future since the constitution prohibits snap elections within six months of a vote, as well as during the final six months of a presidential term.

Sunday's election -- Portugal's third in three years - was triggered when Montenegro lost a parliamentary vote of confidence in March after less than a year in power.

He called for the confidence vote following allegations of conflicts of interest related to his family's consultancy business, which has several clients holding government contracts.

Montenegro has denied any wrongdoing, saying he was not involved in the day-to-day operations of the firm.

"It is not clear that there will be increased governability following these results," University of Lisbon political scientist Marina Costa Lobo told AFP;

She said Chega was "the big winner of the night".

Support for Chega has grown in every general election since the party was founded by Ventura in 2019, advocating tougher sentences for criminals and restrictions on immigration.

It won 1.3 percent of the vote in a general election in 2019, the year it was founded, giving it a seat in parliament.

That was the first time an extreme-right party had been represented in Portugal's parliament since a coup in 1974 toppled a decades-long far-right dictatorship.

Chega became the third-largest force in parliament in the next general election in 2022.

It quadrupled its parliamentary seats last year to 50, cementing its place in Portugal's political landscape and mirroring gains by extreme-right parties in other parts of Europe.

L.Nguyen--SFF