San Francisco Frontiers - Most markets extend rally in glow of China-US truce

Equity markets across the world rallied with oil and the dollar Monday after the two sides said they would slash most of their eye-watering tit-for-tat levies and hold talks to end a standoff that has stoked recession fears.

The news raised hopes that deals can be done with Washington to cut or even remove some of the tolls unveiled by Donald Trump on his "Liberation Day" on April 2 that sent shivers through trading floors and raised concerns about the global trading system.

Top-level negotiators said after two days of talks in Geneva at the weekend that the United States would reduce its 145 percent duties on China to 30 percent for 90 days, while Beijing would cut its retaliatory measures to 10 percent from 125 percent.

The US president described the move as a "total reset" and said talks with counterpart Xi Jinping could soon follow, while US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC he expected officials would meet again in the coming weeks to reach "a more fulsome agreement".

After piling higher on the news Monday, most of Asia's markets started Tuesday on the front foot. Tokyo was up more than one percent, while Shanghai, Sydney, Taipei, Singapore, Seoul, Wellington, Bangkok and Manila were also well up.

London, Paris and Frankfurt edged up in early trade.

However, Hong Kong dropped nearly two percent, having surged three percent the day before. Mumbai also slipped.

The dollar also pulled back from the previous day's rally, though oil reversed early losses to extend Monday's advance.

The broad gains in Asia came after Wall Street greeted the announcement with open arms.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq rocketed more than four percent, the S&P 500 jumped 3.3 percent and the Dow 2.8 percent, while a gauge of US-listed Chinese stocks surged more than five percent.

"Clearly, US-China trade talks have yielded much faster success than many had expected," strategists at HSBC wrote in a note.

"There's very clearly upside risk for the broader risk asset spectrum now as markets will likely extrapolate a higher likelihood of further deals in the coming weeks."

However, nervousness remains.

The HSBC strategists added: "These may not move in a straight line. Things could easily turn out a bit bumpier in future trade negotiations."

IG chief market analyst Chris Beauchamp said the talks show "both sides are aware of the need to repair their relationship, and avoid further damage from the imposition of such huge tariffs".

"But even at the pause levels of 10 percent and 30 percent, these tariffs are still much higher than anything imagined by investors just a few months ago.

"It is not quite six weeks since these tariffs were introduced -- the impact has yet to really appear in both economic data and company earnings. The full impact will only become clear with time."

Federal Reserve governor Adriana Kugler warned that even with the reduction in tariffs, Trump's trade policies will likely push inflation higher and weigh on economic growth.

- Key figures at around 0810 GMT -

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 1.4 percent at 38,183.26 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.9 percent at 23,108.27 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.2 percent at 3,374.87 (close)

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.1 percent at 8,608.90

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 147.91 yen from 148.38 yen on Monday

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1114 from $1.1089

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3210 from $1.3173

Euro/pound: DOWN at 84.14 pence from 84.18 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.2 percent at $62.06 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.1 percent at $65.04 per barrel

New York - Dow: UP 2.8 percent at 42,410.10 (close)

X.White--SFF