San Francisco Frontiers - Jailed Khan's allies surprise in early Pakistan poll results

Khan was barred from contesting Thursday's election and his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party faced a sweeping crackdown -- blocked from holding rallies and taken off the ballot paper, forcing its candidates to run as independents.

But official results showed independents backed by PTI had won around 38 seats so far, against 34 for the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N), and 27 for the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP).

Unofficial tallies on local TV stations had independents in the lead for many of the remaining seats up for grabs in the 266-member assembly.

"Independents spring surprise, PTI-backed candidates defy odds," said the headline of the English-language Express Tribune newspaper.

"There was a sense of certainty about the outcome," Sarah Khan, an assistant professor of political science at Yale University, told AFP.

"That sense of certainty got upset very early on," she added. "It's definitely not the foregone conclusion that anybody thought it might be."

The election was marred by violence, mostly in the border regions neighbouring Afghanistan, with a total of 51 attacks nationwide, the army said, killing a dozen people including 10 security force members -- fewer than in 2018, when dozens were killed.

More than 650,000 army, paramilitary and police personnel were deployed to provide security on Thursday.

- A quarter of votes counted -

On Friday, coming up to 24 hours after polls closed, the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) had announced just over a third of the National Assembly seat winners, attributing the delay to a day-long mobile network shutdown imposed by the government during voting on Thursday.

"The delaying tactics speak loudly of the results being rigged and there is no other reason behind the delay," Nisar Ahmed, a 45-year-old shop owner told AFP.

There could be "no other reason except the results are being tampered with," added Sadaf Farooqi, a 40-year schoolteacher.

The PML-N had been expected to win the most seats following Thursday's vote, with analysts saying its 74-year-old founder Nawaz Sharif had the blessing of the military-led establishment.

PLM-N spokeswoman Marriyum Aurangzeb said they were still hopeful of taking the largest province of Punjab, crucial to forming a government.

The PPP, which also has strong links to the military but whose popularity is largely limited to its Sindh heartland, appeared to be doing better than expected, with leader Bilawal Bhutto Zardari saying early results were "very encouraging".

The PML-N and PPP joined forces with minor parties to boot Khan from office in April 2022 after his PTI had won a slender majority in the 2018 election.

Khan then waged an unprecedented campaign of defiance against the military-led establishment that originally backed his rise to power.

Last week he was convicted of treason, graft and having an un-Islamic marriage in three separate trials -- among nearly 200 cases brought against him since being ousted.

- Rigging fears -

Allegations of poll rigging overshadowed the election, as well as authorities' voting day shutdown of the country's mobile phone network -- ostensibly on security grounds.

Raoof Hasan, PTI's secretary for information, said in a video statement that party agents in the field had reported PTI candidates leading in 125 constituencies.

"An effort may be afoot to tamper with the results," he said of the delay in announcements from ECP headquarters.

Mohammad Zubair, a 19-year-old street hawker in Lahore said PTI supporters would not accept a PML-N victory.

"Everyone knows how many seats Khan's independent candidates have won," he said. "They don't have a symbol, or a captain, or a flag, or banners but still we have won on the field."

Y.Harris--SFF