San Francisco Frontiers - Erdogan sounds starting gun to sombre election campaign

Erdogan signed a decree on national television that officially starts campaigning for what is widely seen as Turkey's most consequential vote of its post-Ottoman history.

It is also shaping into the most difficult of the 69-year-old leader's mercurial two-decade rule.

Voters will be given a stark choice between keeping Erdogan's Islamic-rooted party in power until 2028 or handing the reins back to the main secular party of Turkey's founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.

Erdogan said he will run under the slogan: "Now for Turkey".

But he set a sombre tone to the campaign season by banning music and instructing candidates from his party to contribute to the emergency service in charge of earthquake recovery work.

"Our agenda during the election (campaign) will focus on efforts to heal the wounds of earthquake victims and to compensate for economic and social harm," he said.

- Losing in polls? -

Erdogan is a tireless campaigner and a gifted public speaker who appears to come alive on stage.

But he will have to dig deep to pull off a victory in an election that some of his own allies had suggested he should push back by a year.

Turkey was battling the worst economic crisis of Erdogan's time in power when it was hit by a 7.8-magnitude earthquake that killed tens of thousands of people and left millions homeless last month.

The United Nations estimates the cost of damage alone at more than $100 billion.

His political opponents have formed the type of broad-tent coalition that Erdogan himself relied on to win more than a dozen elections over his career.

The six parties united behind secular opposition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu include die-hard nationalists and an Islamic party as well as more moderate voices who want to push Turkey back on a more predictable course.

Public opinion polls are notoriously unreliable in Turkey and some show Erdogan still holding on to a lead.

But others show him trailing his far less flamboyant opponent by more than 10 percentage points.

Analysts are now watching the movements of a pro-Kurdish party that was excluded from the anti-Erdogan alliance because of some of the other opposition leaders' more nationalist views.

The party is expected to hold talks with Kilicdaroglu in the coming days.

Erdogan enjoyed some support from Kurdish voters in the earlier stages of his career.

But the party helped an anti-Erdogan coalition sweep to power in historic 2019 elections that saw the opposition seize power in Istanbul and Ankara for the first time since the 1990s.

F.Edwards--SFF