San Francisco Frontiers - Biden and Putin to offer rival visions one year into Ukraine war

Biden met Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Monday -- pledging fresh arms deliveries and "unwavering" American support -- days before the first anniversary of Russian tanks rolling over the border.

"One year later, Kyiv stands. And Ukraine stands. Democracy stands," he said at the Mariinsky Palace, the Ukrainian president's official residence.

And on Tuesday, from Warsaw's historic Royal Castle, he will "make it clear that the United States will continue to stand with Ukraine... for as long as it takes", according to National Security Council spokesman John Kirby, who spoke to reporters last week.

In a visit to rally Washington's eastern European allies, Biden will also meet Polish President Andrzej Duda on Tuesday.

He will also speak by phone with the leaders of Britain, France and Italy, the White House has said. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is due in Washington on March 3.

"You'll hear messages in the president's speech that will certainly resonate with the American people, certainly will resonate with our allies and partners, without question resonate with the Polish people," Kirby said of the Warsaw address.

"And I would suspect that you'll hear him messaging Mr Putin as well, as well as the Russian people."

- Chinese concern -

Putin will speak in Moscow a few hours earlier, according to the Kremlin, delivering a state-of-the-nation address that will be largely devoted to the conflict.

In previous addresses, he has railed against NATO's perceived threat to Russia, and drawn on his country's history to buttress his rationale for launching the invasion, and sticking with it in the face of unexpected Ukrainian resistance.

When it was launched, the so-called special military operation was planned to be a rapid conquest, leading to capitulation and the installation of a pro-Russian regime.

"Putin thought Ukraine was weak and the West was divided," Biden said Monday. "He thought he could outlast us."

"He's just been plain wrong," he added.

On Tuesday China said it was "deeply concerned" about the war, which it said was "intensifying and even getting out of control".

Foreign Minister Qin Gan said Beijing would "work with the international community to promote dialogue and consultation, address the concerns of all parties and seek common security".

"At the same time, we urge the countries concerned to stop adding fuel to the fire as soon as possible, to stop shifting the blame to China," Qin said, following US claims that Beijing may be considering sending arms to Moscow.

According to the latest estimates from Norway, the conflict has wounded or killed 180,000 Russian soldiers and 100,000 Ukrainian troops.

Other Western sources estimate the war has caused 150,000 casualties on each side.

- New US military aid -

The United States has provided Ukraine with far more assistance than any other NATO country, with military, economic, humanitarian and other aid now exceeding $100 billion.

During his Kyiv stop -- the first Ukraine trip by a US president since 2008 -- Biden promised $500 million in fresh arms deliveries, mentioning in particular artillery ammunition, howitzers and Javelin anti-tank missiles.

The same day, Japan offered $5.5 billion worth of support.

Biden's visit was organised in conditions of extraordinary secrecy.

He left Washington in the early hours of Sunday in a plane that had been parked discreetly beside a hangar in the dark with shades drawn, and landed in Poland on Sunday evening.

He was driven up to the train platform and quickly boarded the 10-hour overnight service to Kyiv, arriving at 8:00 am local time.

National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan said Washington notified Russia about the trip "some hours before his departure for deconfliction purposes".

- 'Good sign' for Ukrainians -

He said it was "unprecedented" in modern times for a US president to visit the capital of a country at war in which the US military "does not control the critical infrastructure".

Kyiv residents said they were delighted.

"This means that the Americans are clearly and irrevocably on our side," said 50-year-old Oksana Shylo.

"It's a good sign for the Ukrainian people, for Ukraine's victory," said businessman Vladyslav Denysenko, 27.

Zelensky hailed the visit as a key sign of support.

"This conversation brings us closer to victory," he said, calling the trip and the promise of additional US arms supplies "an unequivocal signal that Russian attempts to win will have no chance".

burs/dt/bgs/des/leg/mtp

T.Martin--SFF