San Francisco Frontiers - China manufacturing activity rebounds in January

The world's second-largest economy is roaring back to life after Beijing's decision last month to abruptly drop its strict zero-Covid policy, which mandated strict lockdowns, sparking protests and hammering businesses.

The official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) -- a key gauge of Chinese factory output -- rose to 50.1 this month, from 47.0 in December, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

Pandemic prevention measures have "entered a new stage" that is allowing "a gradual return" to normal life, NBS statistician Zhao Qinghe said in a statement.

The International Monetary Fund on Monday upgraded its forecast for China's 2023 gross domestic product (GDP) to 5.2 percent, citing Beijing's decision to fully reopen.

The non-manufacturing PMI, which includes the services and construction sector, stood at 54.4 in January, up from 41.6 in December.

That was well above the 52 points forecast by economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

Manufacturing activity typically slows during the Lunar New Year holiday -- which this year fell during the last week of January -- as workers go home to celebrate with their families.

But consumption of services has picked up as millions of people are now travelling freely for the first time in three years.

China's economy grew just three percent last year -- its slowest pace in four decades excluding pandemic-hit 2020 -- as Covid restrictions and a crisis in the property market hampered growth.

The IMF said Monday that pent-up demand accumulated during three years of strict pandemic controls would lead to a strong rebound in the country.

Passenger trips during the holiday travel rush reached 892 million from January 7 to 29, up 56 percent from 2022, a transport ministry official said Monday.

L.Lopez--SFF